Thursday, October 24, 2013
Wednesday, October 16, 2013
From the Guardian: The world's wealthy: where on earth are the richest 1%?
Flinders thought you might be interested in this link from the Guardian: The world's wealthy: where on earth are the richest 1%?
A new report from Credit Suisse is not your usual 'rich list'. Amid a record high for average global wealth its figures reveal striking inequalities – such as 35% of Russia's riches in the hands of 110 people
Mona ChalabiWednesday 9 October 2013
theguardian.com
http://www.theguardian.com/news/datablog/2013/oct/09/worlds-wealthy-where-russia-rich-list
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Despite the continuing problems in the global economy, the ultra-rich have helped to push up average wealth in the world to an all-time high of US$51,600 per adult (£32,399). But what do those averages hide?
The data, published in a new report by Credit Suisse, also reveals the countries that have seen the biggest rises in wealth, and which are likely to in the future. Here are some of the main findings:
The wealthiest 32m people own more than the poorest 4.3bn put together
The idea of the world's wealthy 1% is still a powerful one – and graphics like the pyramid below demonstrate that stark contrast between the few and the many.
32m individuals (just 0.7% of the world's population) together hold US$98.7tn (or £62,000,0000,000,000, which represents 41% of global wealth).
At the other extreme, there are 3.2bn individuals at the bottom of the pyramid. Together they have 3% of global riches, despite representing 68.7% of the world population. But it might be surprising how little wealth an individual has to have to get out of that bottom tier and in with the top 33% of the world's population: US$10,000 is sufficient.
110 rich Russians
With just 110 individuals holding 35% of the country's riches, Russia has the highest level of wealth inequality in the world (with the exception of some small Caribbean nations that have resident billionaires). There's a stark contrast between that and the world average, where billionaires hold around 1-2% of wealth.
Globally, for every US$170bn in household wealth there is on average 1 billionaire. In Russia, there is just US$11bn in household wealth for every billionaire in the country.
Wealth can be fleeting
Fortunes can go down as well as up. Using the Forbes rich list, Credit Suisse caught up with individuals that had been classified as billionaires as far back as 2001, to see how many were still among the super-rich by 2013.
The financial crisis did very little to chance a consistent trend. In the first year after making it to the list of the top 100, around 33 individuals dropped out. By the time a decade had passed, more than 60 billionaires of the top 100 lost their status.
Europeans can lose wealth easier than Africans
The blues on the right-hand side of this graph show people who have increased their wealth over thirty years; the lighter the blue, the bigger the jump in wealth. The oranges and yellows on the other side indicate people who have slid down the wealth scale in their respective countries.
Globally, the graphic shows that on average almost half of individuals do not significantly change their wealth status over the course of their lifetimes, and change is the least likely in Africa. So you have more chance of losing wealth if you live in Europe than in Africa. But at the other extreme, there's also a much bigger chance individuals in Europe will move up the wealth scale too.
China has the world's highest level of wealth mobility. Almost 75% of the country has seen their wealth rise significantly in the past three decades.
By 2018, Poland will have seen the biggest rise in billionaires
But how will wealth change in the future? Credit Suisse predicts the number of millionaires for various countries by 2018. Globally, there will be a 50% rise in the number of millionaires in the next five years. Although the US will continue to top the list with the highest number of millionaires, in terms of percentage change, Poland's population will experience the biggest leap – with 89% more billionaires in 2018 than it had in 2013.
Libya has seen the biggest growth in household wealth
If the past year is anything to go by, individuals in any country can see their wealth radically change as a result of sometimes unexpected national events. In Libya, household wealth leapt by more than 60% between 2012 and 2013 while households in Egypt saw their wealth fall by over 10%.
Here's what wealth looks like today, click here to read the report and see the full-size images.
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Mona Chalabi is teaching a Masterclass, Mastering spreadsheets: how to work with data, at the Guardian's London offices on 26-27 October. Learn more and book
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Monday, September 30, 2013
The measure of a man, the art of living..
- Had a good navel-gazing discussion yesteday in Adam Said's leadership modeling workshop, the likes of which I have not had the chance to fully absorb given the time constraints for the past 2 years. Application of the model to myself shows major gaps in Purpose: doing things beyond self, (or perhaps only family), the need to properly allow the purpose to drive the Charisma, Personal: lack of integrity and internal compass and also lack of tenacity, particularly realising that when things are not going well I should be truthseeking and guided by my personal conscience. And in the last 5 years, I have not had the need to test the interpersonal, building conviction and influence over others, as the internals have not had the need to build it up.
- In addition, the discrepancy, the derailing between internals and what should be done is all-consuming and makes the stresses to heavy to carry.
- But the internals has to be sorted out first. To catch the big fish, we need to go to the deeper oceans. To do that, need to make sure the boat is ready and I am confident to commandeer and command the boat. To paraphrase Adam, To build the boat requires confidence and self-belief. Requires passion and clarity of thought and pathway to lead others into the future.
- If I didn't like selling before, even selling of pretty good ideas - things will stay the same as we go on - unless I take steps to radically overthrow the existing mentality.
- As things go, there are strategic alternatives. And I will need to mentally process all of it before deciding, making sure there are no regrets and that this important decision has been given all possible attention before the next course of action is taken.
Friday, September 27, 2013
[Shared Post] Malaysian Insider now takes below average columnists
jebatmustdie posted: "Oh dear, we think MALAYSIAN INSIDER has really gone down the drain in terms of editorial quality. An article which was filled with factual errors and major delusions was published by this portal. That article which was titled - 'May 13 was not a racial ri"
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Monday, September 23, 2013
Monday, September 9, 2013
flinflan wants to share a link with you
From the Guardian: The wealthy 'make mistakes', the poor go to jail | Chris Arnade
flinflan thought you might be interested in this link from the Guardian: The wealthy 'make mistakes', the poor go to jail | Chris Arnade
I left my Wall Street trader job and began photographing drug addicts in NYC. These two worlds have entirely different rules
Chris ArnadeSunday 8 September 2013
theguardian.com
http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/sep/08/wall-street-versus-poor-in-america
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I knew him as "Mr one-glove". The origins of his nickname were cloudy, but had to do with his legendary stinginess. He had just lost his company close to $1bn betting on mortgages. That company, facing massive losses from him and other traders, had only staved off bankruptcy because of the grace of the government.
It was late in 2008 and Mr one-glove had joined us at a bar, a group of disparate Wall Street traders united in an attempt to drink away a bad year. Near the end of the night, Mr one-glove leaned into the table of beers, and asked,
Do you think we will get paid well this year?
Mr one-glove was not somebody who trafficked in irony. Despite the massive loss, despite his company being bailed out, Mr one-glove didn't get fired, nor did he lose any of his wealth. No, Mr one-glove got paid well. Not by his standards, since he did not get a year-end bonus, just his salary of around $300,000. Mr one-glove was unhappy with that.
Nearly five years later, my life was very different. I left my Wall Street job to start a photo project documenting the lives of addicts in the Hunts Point section of the Bronx, New York City's poorest neighborhood.
A year ago I sat with one my new friends, Takeesha, at a small table in a visiting room in Rikers Island jail. Takeesha was in Rikers for possession of a needle and for intent to sell. Or maybe this time it was for prostitution. Takeesha is often in Rikers. Near the end of our conversation, Takeesha leaned into the table and asked,
Do you think I will get out this year?
Takeesha did not end up getting out; she spent another two months, held a total of four months, for a variety of charges that almost all ended up being dropped.
Takeesha was raped at 11-years-old, by a family member, and pimped by another family member at 13. She ran away at 15. She has worked the last 25 years as a prostitute in Hunts Point and is addicted to both heroin and crack. Her story is not different from many homeless addicts I have gotten to know: childhood trauma, often sexual abuse, followed by rejection by the family, followed by addiction, and then, almost always for the women, followed by prostitution.
Mr one-glove is not that different from many whom I met on Wall Street over my 20 career. He had upper middle class parents, was college educated, got an MBA, followed by a demanding high-paying job that became his identity.
What have I learned from knowing both Mr one-glove and Takeesha? Here's my one-line answer:
When you're wealthy you make mistakes. When you are poor you go to jail.
Yes, it is like comparing apples and oranges. That is the point though. We have built two very different societies with two very different sets of values. Takeesha was born into a world with limited opportunities, one where the black market has filled the void. In her world transgressions are resolved via violence, not lawyers. The law as applied to her is simple and stark, with little wiggle room.
Mr one-glove was born into a world with many options. The laws of his land are open for interpretation, and with the right lawyer one can navigate in the vast grey area and never do anything wrong. The rules are often written by and for Mr one-glove and his friends.
No, Mr one-glove did not break any laws. Not explicitly, although in 2008, he helped to bankrupt a company that helped to almost bankrupt the global economy. Rather, he spent his adult life moving numbers around on spreadsheets and betting on other numbers. Over his entire career, he has probably lost more money than he made, with the hole from 2008 swallowing any prior profits. For that he has been very richly rewarded. Tens of millions of dollars rewarded.
Takeesha has broken many laws, none open for interpretation. You use drugs (well, not prescription drugs), you go to jail. You sell your body for sex, you go to jail. You can paint a narrative where young Takeesha shakes off her rape at 11, shakes off being sold on the streets at 13, and rallies. She finds the right foster family, takes advantage of the social services offered, and graduates from high school or at least gets her GED equivalent, then goes to college and moves well beyond her past.
Maybe she even ends up in banking, with her juvenile record forgiven. You can paint that story, but it's a fairy tale.
Mr one-glove would probably not approve of Takeesha. He felt everyone makes his own path in life, that raising his taxes to help the poor was encouraging a lifetime of sloth. To him, poverty was because of a lack of trying, a lack of working as hard as he had. Many successful professionals, who forget their benign youth, share that attitude.
Poverty and addiction have a thousand mothers, none of them sloth. Surviving the streets and hustling for the next fix is some of the hardest work around. Takeesha would probably say about Mr one-glove what another addict said with admiration, when hearing about my Wall Street life: "You made tricky money in a tricky world."
Mr one-glove eventually left his company. He is still working somewhere in finance, putting together another portfolio of mortgages using borrowed money.
Takeesha is still out on the streets, charging $50 for men to have sex with her. Or maybe she is in jail. I have to check weekly to see which it is.
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Thursday, June 27, 2013
Apa lagi aku mau (2) - Rethinking priorities
- So now, with personal net worth targets achieved, what then? That has come at great personal cost. But at the same time, it has taught me the valuable lesson of paying for wanting something. Would it then be desirable to pay for my children's education to get a feeling of self-worth? Or is that cutting off nose to spite the (abused) system? Where is the sense of nobility and pride?
- So, then it is about having the comfort to do what gives personal happiness. Is it about raising children to their best potential? Is it about giving wife the avenues to pursue own trails - whether in career or in life? Is it about giving comfort to mother in her old years? Is it about clearing up all outstanding items in life? Is it about not taking orders and being in a rush from day to day and assignment to assignment and fulfilling other people's priorities? Is it about taking one step at a time and smelling the roses, the coffee and whatever else? Or about focusing on what helps the community the best way that I can?
- But how then do I square it with the materialistic dimension of making enough dosh to pay for all that I wish to have? In short, how do I have it all?
- A prologue to this is that we already have enough for our subsistence now. The next phase is about self-actualisation. Now I do need to decide who is in most need of this now. I can't be selfish and only think of my needs. Son needs dosh for his uni. So does daughter in just two years after that. I shall not touch the kepok as that gives the maneouverability for wife.
- Basically, if I were to step out and have my own venture, it should be making enough to cover for basic expenses. But I can't stop there as it needs to cover for educational expenses pretty soon too. So, the priority has to be calibrated right. Otherwise, it's replacing one misplaced priority for another.
- Fertigation looks like a worthwhile investment to make now. As does gaharu. This should give some free cashflows over the medium to long-term at relatively low downside risk insyaAllah, but would need to be carefully monitored and cultivated to ensure highest premiums are secured. Other investments into equity and property will also need to be made.
- In the meantime, need to chalk up the green company up pretty soon. Branding and finalising business model is next.
- All this of course, subject to this not impeding growth and development needs of others.
Tuesday, June 25, 2013
Apa lagi aku mau?
- Many events I went through in the last 5 years of a personal transformation plan created and executed back in 2007 has given me tremendous learnings and deep experience building on a personal scale. Some of the top of my head will be (i) societal biases (ii) personal priorities, leading to next steps.
- Firstly, cutting off the sheltered world of low risk GLC job and entering a mad dog world of private sector. These are people fighting for their economic future, and they are not shy to use whatever they have at their disposal to obtain it. My perception - looking at the post GE13 trends for these people - Practise racism, but jump at others for doing it.
- The economy is slanted towards Malaysian Chinese - no bones about it. Local blogs have been throwing the 90% tax indicator paid by Chinese - (no idea where this number came from given that Petronas is like paying the bulk of government revenues, and only 26% of the population are chinese. In which case, there's a whole lot of Bumis who are in poverty or non-tax paying population, and therefore a lot more work is required to alleviate this). My working experience in the private sector proves how painfully true this is. Need an external support, call up an external services provider for a quality and pricing that you want - and chances are the Chinese contractors / service providers will deliver. Easy way is to blame / point towards the superiority of the culture and mentality of one race over the other. The reality may not be so straightforward. I am more inclined to a policy of a selected meritocracy of Bumi service providers, a white-list perhaps of service-oriented Bumis, not rent-seeking Datuk Seris in their Beemers and Mercs wanting a slice of the budgetted allocation of a business. In anyways, there are already shameless non-Malay businesses who are learning the language of rent-seeking as the easy way out. Shame these unethical cultural problems, but do not tie this to the colour of a skin.
- So what of the DEB? Creating crutches or mollycoddling? The difference is with the application. Use it as sweeteners and refuse to allow the beneficiaries to raise themselves out of the mire, and the income gap and later the capability gaps will widen. The Malays have no other means to further themselves other than to work themselves out of the crutches and subsidy system. Anyone wanting to start a business - learn the ropes and then make sure that you choose the most rational choices you can, not the easiest ones. If you are capable, but still want to have the lot of the poor, shame on you too.
- Malays in innovation sectors should be given support as these are the game changers. So, when GLICs are given an allocation, what should they do with the allocation? How should they invest? What is the long-term strategy to develop the malays? Or, are they the ones who are helped and forget about the rest?
- To all intents, Ekuinas seems to be on the right track as regards to deployment of capital towards operational investment for the benefits of Bumiputras. Teraju is building a database of Bumi companies. How these certified or white-listed companies will benefit from the wider economy is still unclear. Just how do you mainstream the Bumi economy to the wider economy then? The creation of new ambitious businesses that build and thrive on the wider economy is needed. But again, the plan on paper is just so much easier than deploying the idea.
- On a personal scale, the Malay entrepreneur needs to walk, talk and think as if he is a humble immigrant, and not to exhibit a distasteful ketuanan mentality. To get respect, you will need to earn it. Talk humbly, listen, articulate concerns well. Then, you may have a chance. Accept defeats, accept loss of face and do not be arrogant.
Friday, June 7, 2013
Biogreentech: engineering the systems to make it work
- One way to engineer the whole biogreentech space to take on the established supply chains existing in the downstream petchem industry is to develop whole value chains to make it feasible in its later-stage commercialisation phase, assuming the technological hindrances have been ironed out.
- Feedstock systems is one, biocatalysts is another. Market access. Capital and financing systems for scaleup commercial plants. Investors with patience to endure false starts, a few of them (investors and to minimise false starts)
- Strategic investors are just too important to get this right, eg O&G NOCs or large plantation companies with large amounts of heft and willingness to forgo immediate returns for potential first-mover advantages. (though it seems setup that a follower model is perhaps a more prudent strategy to derive margins and build cost advantages - say the AirAsia model)
- The high barriers of entry make it a small playground of players though. How do you make the risks seem insignificant to the benefits?
Biogreentech opportunities for Malaysia
Tuesday, February 26, 2013
Personal Charter
PERSONAL CHARTER
- Benefactor to others
- I will ensure my life and my family will live a life of integrity according to values approved by Islam and social order;
- I will have determination that I build up through persistence and tenacity;
- I will pray that Allah protects my objective and makes it easy
- I will use my rational thought coupled with hope and prayer to its fullest ability and find the opportunities that life brings for the betterment of this life
Bye bye 2012
1. Liverpool under Brendan, 2013 and beyond
Looks like Sturridge is coming after all. How would he integrate with Suarez? How does BR manage Gerrard and Henderson? How does he organise the back 4 or 3 given the silly goals that the team has leaked to Route 1 and simple direct attacking from simeple direct opposition?
Performances have been good to insipid. There is a lack of rotation, and given the smallish squad how will they cope in the second half. BR needs to show he has solutions for all of this. In the second half, I predict more of the same against the top 5, ie if we are lucky and being optimistic, 6 points from the 5 games against Utd, City, Chelsea, Arse and Spurs. The middle 7 are mainly home games, but our own home games have been awful so far and Anfield is no fortress. A mere 2-3-1 result against Everton, WBA< Swansea, Norwich, WHU, Sunderland could be best. And 15 pts out of the bottom 7 which are mainly aways again seems pretty optimistic. All in, leaves 59 pts for this year. Awful, but a basis to start 2013/14 season. Beyond? Difficult considering transfer performance is where you could get quantum increases in performance, as shown by Rafa and Houllier or even Dalglish part 1, or drastic underperformance under Hodgson and Dalglish Part 2. Not sure how good BR is in the transfer market, but based on 1 window so far, pretty much underwhelming.
Rafa does seem to impress at Chelsea so far though.
The unemotional malay
- This is truly the age of fitaan. And the worse thing for Malays is that the precedence for overcoming the dilemma is to embrace pragmatism that perverts truth.
- Over the past 50 years since the federalism was established, the fractured Malay factionalism was only truly united over the period of 1989-1998, when UMNO as a party consolidated behind the great overlord, and Malaysians gave undivided loyalty to the ruling party that dominates the alliance. Before that period, you could trace the factionalisms within UMNO itself, when there were competing warlords. Thereafter, many Malays questioned the benefits of giving their undivided loyalty such that rule of law was abused with such impunity. That 'reluctance' grew such the same questions were asked of other communities and the agenda for truth then took on its own engine, such that the agenda has taken on its own life, even to the extent of it spiralling beyond the comfort zones of the malay-muslim community, a situation unheard of 20-30 years ago. For Malaysians, this is as living on the edge as it gets, as the situation of 1969 is raised whenever 'sensitivities' are raised.
- Malay royalties presiding over a relatively less educated, less priviledged Malay majority never had to contend with an uprising. Malays are tolerant, the recipients of perhaps the ultimate backhanded compliment of 'nature's greatest gentlemen'. So, these times are a novelty.
- We should ultimately be thankful for the leadership over the last 50 years that the Malays are in such a priviledged position as they are now, the DEB being a pragmatic device and a diplomatic victory that was secured on the back of a critical failure of the racial riots of 1969. At the same time, the same concessions that was secured then created a race that had become dependent on the handouts. Amendments are required yet this conversation on a social contract has not yet opened up within the Malay community, and how could it when raising issues of this is considered a criminal offence?
- Malays- forever afraid of rocking the boat, forever afraid of leaving their comfort zone, forever conventional and traditional - and what other mindset can explain the fact that Abdullah Munshi, a well-travelled journalist (blogger?), a government translator, could be so well received in the history books when someone of this profile are a-dime-a-dozen in many other cultures. Now dont get me wrong that there is an inherent inferiority complex and I have the greatest of respect for someone who spoke out of what is a common cultural milieu of its time, all I'm doing is pointing out this deficient mentality that prevents us from trying out new things for the fear of it being.... new!
- We need something new, we need a new voice, and we need it now. And we need people with the gumption of going against the flow to achieve greater good, with the critical ability to speak for the rest to diplomatically negotiate for support and concessions whilst withstanding all kinds of 'excrement' and untruths being thrown at their deepest core. And all the while being unflinching slave of truth and sound principles. An unemotional malay.. fancy that.